2024-12-14 01:30:47
Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: It is still a consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. JOSH HIRT, a senior American economist at VANGUARD, said: "The US CPI data in November confirmed the market consensus that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again. We are still paying close attention to the strength of the labor market and the potential inflationary stickiness of some components of inflation (housing and services) before 2025. "The actual average weekly salary in November in the United States increased by 1% year-on-year. According to the data of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the actual average weekly salary in November increased by 0.3% month-on-month. The actual average hourly wage in November was flat, and the actual average hourly wage in November increased by 1.3% year-on-year. The actual average weekly salary increased by $3.71, reaching $385.99.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: the data is in line with expectations, and there may be four interest rate cuts next year. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, said: "There is nothing unexpected in the CPI report, and everything is in line with expectations. Housing cost is still the main driver of inflation. With the employment report and inflation report, nothing can stop the Fed from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next week. What will be exciting is the summary of the Fed's economic forecast. There may be four interest rate cuts in 2025, and inflation will eventually fall to the target level. "
OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.British Prime Minister's Spokesperson: British Prime Minister Stamer will meet with Apple CEO Cook to discuss investment.
Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center completed the first delivery of the pre-sale and listing of diesel oil in East China, and Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center completed the first delivery of diesel oil in the first half of December for the pre-sale and listing of diesel oil in East China on December 10th. The seller who completed the first delivery is Zhejiang Zhoushan Weide Energy Co., Ltd., and the buyer is Zhoushan Weilan Energy Co., Ltd., with an average delivery price of 5974 yuan/ton, and the corresponding value-added tax price is 6750.62 yuan/ton. In November, the buyers and sellers locked in the purchase (sales) volume and price in the first half of December in the pre-sale listing transaction, and determined Sinochem Nantong Warehouse as the delivery place, and completed the first delivery in two installments on December 9 and 10 respectively.The yield of US 10-year Treasury bonds fell by 1.75 basis points, reaching a daily low of 4.2069% after the release of US CPI inflation data, and a daily high of 4.2496% 10 minutes before the release of data at 21:30 Beijing time. The yield of two-year US bonds reached a new low of 4.1032%, with the current decline exceeding 3.3 basis points, and it also reached a new high of 4.1741% at 21:17.After the release of CPI data in the United States, the yield of euro zone bonds fell by about 1 basis point, and the yield of German 10-year bonds is now flat at 2.116%.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14